These presentations summarise the latest ONS population projections based on 2022 data. They can be used for local planning of health, education and other service provisions. They are also sometimes used in the assessment of local authority needs and the funding formula. Projections are available from: http://Subnational population projections for England – Office for National Statistics
- These projections give an understanding of the potential future size of the population, based on current and past trends. They are not forecasts or predictions. They don’t take into account potential future policy changes.
- Demographic behaviour used to develop assumptions for projections is inherently uncertain and so projections become increasingly uncertain the further they are carried forward. This is particularly so for smaller geographical areas and detailed age and sex breakdowns.
- A range of scenarios, or variants, are presented so decision makers can use the right projection for their needs.
- Projected figures for the ‘migration category variant’ projection is seen as best fit for overall UK population as it fits closest with international migration estimates published in May.